Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 18.306988 20.872136 23.782172 27.351706 31.644733 36.683005 43.104770
2025-08-24 14.785895 17.959296 21.874931 27.142487 34.170456 43.413555 56.820345
2025-08-31 12.573532 15.896202 20.223792 26.414678 35.288740 47.958252 68.225472
2025-09-07 11.153288 14.552047 19.173513 26.125045 36.707567 52.930286 81.279319
2025-09-14 9.782608 13.065134 17.674650 24.878696 36.372650 55.025852 90.101190
2025-09-21 8.659489 11.785528 16.292009 23.561568 35.627748 56.194413 97.465562
2025-09-28 7.886858 10.925602 15.416075 22.882521 35.761005 58.807102 108.224714
2025-10-05 8.075784 11.495807 16.747492 25.906628 42.712723 75.306926 153.628885
2025-10-12 7.799602 11.319480 16.875404 26.908902 46.189508 85.968875 190.708871
2025-10-19 7.211767 10.598189 16.040172 26.096416 46.027873 88.928173 209.431634
2025-10-26 6.992882 10.448537 16.136203 26.977547 49.395185 100.589588 258.482637
2025-11-02 6.588205 9.959933 15.604510 26.606074 50.068758 106.064427 291.670506
2025-11-09 6.191533 9.472761 15.062220 26.210259 50.767471 112.198897 332.648108
2025-11-16 5.860335 9.073551 14.643440 26.014605 51.909205 119.955373 386.068371
2025-11-23 5.494173 8.586684 14.021631 25.325353 51.764941 124.109629 428.452813
2025-11-30 5.217483 8.236659 13.622028 25.051039 52.582219 131.398476 492.143858
2025-12-07 4.850756 7.703953 12.838809 23.870029 50.924911 130.579214 515.309760
2025-12-14 4.505325 7.190508 12.058274 22.620954 48.914071 128.157474 528.850053
2025-12-21 4.258896 6.842405 11.572247 21.976577 48.408200 130.696216 574.747143
2025-12-28 4.423834 7.252852 12.591530 24.844137 58.043102 172.912924 948.926450
2026-01-04 4.364896 7.242624 12.772291 25.793346 62.508331 198.432481 1271.217953
2026-01-11 4.141071 6.907245 12.264736 25.023920 61.645206 201.457783 1389.865670
2026-01-18 4.082550 6.884351 12.401450 25.858336 65.974678 229.740051 1879.047813